Anxiety is an instinctively powerful force that stands in the way of good investment decisions. Here are some timeless tips for overcoming its effects. Read more
Anxiety is an instinctively powerful force that stands in the way of good investment decisions. Here are some timeless tips for overcoming its effects. Read more
The Nobel Prize winner and preeminent expert on cognitive biases distilled much of his research findings into bite-sized portions. Read more
At the 65th CFA Institute Annual Conference, Fitch Ratings Group Managing Director David Riley discussed the critical factors for evaluating sovereign credit. In particular, Riley drew upon lessons learned in the ongoing European sovereign debt crisis. Here are some of … Read more
Is the negative correlation between rising S&P 500 trading volume and declining prices evidence of a slow, snarling bear market? Read more
How paltry is the U.S. market regulator’s funding? This paltry: Last year Citigroup disposed of assets worth more than the SEC’s entire operating budget. Read more
While in the last week fears of Spain’s mounting economic problems — as logged by feet-on-the-street protests, uncertain statements from the Spanish government, and increasing bond yields — have seemingly reinvigorated fears of a European implosion, the fact remains that investors are emphasizing other things. Read more
Twitter is an excellent resource for investors wanting to understand information and improve investment returns. Read more
Credit spreads are a rich source of information about various risks. Here is a distillation of many research articles about credit spread components. Read more
There is no such thing as a risk-free rate of return, just as there is no such thing as our world without action. Yet, the concept of a bedrock expected rate of return is a good one in need of a better description that is more reflective of reality. Read more
As I stated last month, investors have largely left last year’s biggest story, the European Sovereign Debt Crisis, behind. Instead, in the last 30 days, investors have been getting their bearings and putting in place new strategies. Read more
In the wake of the Great Recession, many alternatives to the traditional credit-rating agencies are being considered. Here is an overview. Read more
Development Partners International’s Runa Alam dispels six myths about investing in Africa and makes a compelling argument for the continent’s frontier markets. Read more
A powerful alternative to traditional credit ratings is the scenario-planning approach developed by Kamal Mustafa, CEO of Invictus Consulting Group. Read more
The new “China 2030″ report may be capturing news headlines, but a complex mosaic of change in the world’s second largest economy suggests that China is already moving to fulfill its greater promise as a political and economic superpower. Read more
The “China 2030″ report may be capturing headlines, but a mosaic of change in the world’s second largest economy suggests that China is already moving to fulfill its promise as a global superpower. Read more
Unlike many behavioral finance pieces which simply contain behavioral admonitions, “Eight Lessons” actually contains prescriptions for overcoming common errors of judgment. Read more
Popular opinion holds that hedge funds are attracting large amounts of new assets, yet anecdotal evidence suggests that it is a tale of two capital-raising markets, with smaller hedge funds starving in comparison to their larger competitors. Read more
January 2012 will likely be remembered by investors as the month in which they stopped worrying about Europe and began discounting other issues. Read more
In the second half of this interview with the CEO of Entegra Partners, Jim Butcher outlines the benefits of scenario planning, which he thinks is especially useful in these uncertain times. Read more
Scenario planning is a valuable tool for all financial professionals, ranging from those in corporate finance to those in investment management. Part one of an interview with ex-Morgan Stanely/Entegra Partners’ Jim Butcher. Read more
Ten years ago investment community luminaries met to discuss the equity risk premium. Now in a new Research Foundation of CFA Institute monograph state of the art thinking about the equity risk premium is presented for the benefit of investors worldwide. Read more
While December is typically a quiet month in the world of finance and investing, last month had a surprising number of important stories. Concerns over the European sovereign debt crisis dominated the intellectual bandwidth, yet there were other stories deserving of the fixed income investor’s attention. Read more
Modern banking system bailouts fly in the face of the ancient capitalist philosophy of losses signaling market risks. In addition, financial bailouts tend to escalate in size and damaging effects with time. Read more
A major and ancient tenet of capitalism is the importance of losses to preserving the efficiency of markets. Yet modern banking system bailouts fly in the face of this perennial philosophy. Read more
Physical limitations in humans seem to limit our ability to make effective group decisions when the number of the group exceeds seven members. This has important implications for boards of directors, investment committees, and transnational economic organizations, such as the eurozone. Read more
Effective financial decision making relies on a proper assessment of the truthfulness of facts. Yet, most people, even professionals, are terrible at spotting lies. Why? Read more
As a former portfolio manager, I know that practitioners often pay too much attention to the micro-level issues of individual securities and not enough attention to the broader macro-level context. Investors often reach for a microscope when they should be … Read more
As John D. Rockefeller famously said, “The way to make money is to buy when blood is running in the streets.” A new survey of CFA charterholders (PDF), released today, reflects a level of pessimism that even the oil baron … Read more
The European sovereign debt crisis has been occupying a disproportionate amount of investor mindshare over these past many months. Yet there is another potential debt crisis in Europe that is receiving almost no attention from financial analysts or the press. … Read more
Complicating matters in resolving the European sovereign debt crisis have been the large number of players each of whom has a stake in the outcome of the crisis. Read more
In part one of “Is the Mountain of Corporate Cash an Illusion?” I argued that the growth in corporate cash balances is not as dramatic as is often reported by analysts, commentators, and the press. In this post, I’ll show … Read more
Is the mountain of corporate cash an illusion? By comparing cash balances to total assets it may appear so. But what happens if you compare cash generation to profit generation by U.S. businesses? Read more
Given the many moving pieces, it can be difficult for investors to keep track of the various elements of the European sovereign debt crisis. Here then is a multipart guide for understanding the origins, causes, and unresolved issues of the ongoing economic emergency in the eurozone. Each of the links below provides a more detailed discussion of the underlying issues. Read more
Most commentators trace the beginning of the European sovereign debt crisis to 5 November 2009, when Greece revealed that its budget deficit was 12.7% of gross domestic product (GDP), more than twice what the country had previously disclosed. However, the real origins of the crisis can be traced to the very structures that govern Europe’s institutions. Read more
It is one thing to talk about the European sovereign debt crisis and its many details and another to look at the statistics that are germane to understanding the crisis. Here then are some select data to help shape the … Read more
Various proposals to resolve the European sovereign debt crisis have not dealt with many nagging issues. Here is a list of major unresoved issues in the European sovereign debt crisis. Read more
On 27 October 2011, after months of discord, European leaders ironed out a plan to address the escalating European sovereign debt crisis. Here is an overview of what exactly that plan entails. Reduce Greece’s debt to a sustainable level. Current … Read more
A trio of accomplished monetary and fiscal policy experts will provide fresh insights on economic crisis management in Paris Read more
An overview of the major provisions of the 27 October agreement, from the Greek haircut, to bank recapitalizations, to the creation of a €1 trillion firewall. Read more
General Tenor: Bearish. Almost all of the speakers at the conference expressed concern about the direction of the global economy. Specifically, bearishness was expressed for: The European sovereign debt crisis The U.S. Congress’s political gridlock and inability to resolve the … Read more