Economics

697 Posts

Are We Headed for Another Global Financial Crisis?

It’s been seven years since the global financial crisis of 2008. Although market volatility has picked up somewhat recently, markets have stayed relatively stable. Major world economies remain sluggish, but are mostly reporting positive growth rates. Are we embarking on a new era of prosperity? Or should we expect another economic disaster sometime soon? We asked CFA Institute Financial NewsBrief readers what they think the probability is that the world will experience another financial crisis in the next five years. Read more

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Weekend Reads for Investors: Montier, Musk, and Mauboussin

Weekend Reads for Investors: Montier, Musk, and Mauboussin

Central bankers in the US have long fixated on the equilibrium real interest rate (ERIR) as their lodestar, an obsession that GMO’s James Montier, in The Idolatry of Interest Rates, bemoans as “a massive exercise in navel gazing.” According to Montier, the broad acceptance of the theoretically dubious ERIR — the real interest rate consistent with full employment of labor and capital resources—is not an example of the wisdom of crowds, but rather “groupthink extraordinaire.” Further, investors’ collective preoccupation with interest rates as an economic “cure-all” and their “deification of central bankers” are equally misguided, says Montier. Read more

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Book Review: We Are Better Than This

Book Review: We Are Better Than This

The author conveys a deep appreciation of the workings of the US fiscal machine and how fiscal policy — government spending and tax revenue policy — affects every aspect of the economy. Most likely to interest financial analysts are the chapters that function as an instruction manual on the mechanics of fiscal policy. They draw on a large body of data and insightful analysis yet engagingly written in layman’s terms rather than economic jargon. Read more

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The Future of Finance: Seven Posts from the 68th Annual Conference

The Future of Finance: Seven Posts from the 68th Annual Conference

The frontiers of finance were on full display at the 68th CFA Institute Annual Conference in Frankfurt, Germany, late last month. With presentations covering a diverse range of topics, from geopolitical frameworks, to the biology of risk-taking, to bitcoin, and beyond, delegates gained powerful and practical insights. Here are seven posts inspired by the program. Read more

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