Portfolio Management

540 Posts

Connecting the Dots: From US Shale Oil to London Real Estate

Connecting the Dots: From US Shale Oil to London Real Estate

What do the US shale oil play and London real estate have in common? A lot, it turns out. And if oil prices keep falling, the London (and for that matter Paris) property bubble(s) will burst. So, if you want to avoid the carnage or short real estate bubbles, builders, or banks in Europe, focus on the US energy sector and OPEC. Many investors are blinded by too narrow a focus, something I call micro-macro bias. Read more

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Book Review: Global Trends 2030

Book Review: Global Trends 2030

This book is the US intelligence community’s best assessment of critical drivers and political scenarios worldwide over the next 15 years. The overview is broken into megatrends, game changers, and potential alternative scenarios. It delineates those regions and issues that may hold both the greatest opportunities and the greatest risks in the future. Read more

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