Practical analysis for investment professionals
30 November 2021

Passive vs. Active Management: Three Myths in DC Plan Strategy Selection

Actively managed strategies should have a place at the core of well-designed retirement plans. That a broad cross-section of the industry continues to hold this view is evidenced in part by positive flows into many actively managed strategies, as well as the excess returns posted by them over the past 12 months. Many of these strategies continue to be prominently used in both defined contribution (DC) plans and target date funds.

Nevertheless, we recognize that recent studies and the substantial flow of assets into passive strategies over the past few years have kept front and center the question of whether active management has a role to play in retirement savings plans. Our view is that both active and passive strategies can play a role in retirement portfolios, and each approach brings distinct benefits.

We think that positing active versus passive as binary options is based on three myths:

  1. Active management cannot produce better results than passive management.
  2. The lowest possible cost is the primary criteria for a strategy’s selection.
  3. Active management is problematic from a fiduciary perspective and places extra burdens on plan sponsors.
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Myth I: Active Funds Cannot Sustain Positive Results

Plan participants are often told that, on average, passive strategies produce better returns than similar active strategies. This argument is anchored primarily on the law of averages. But analysts know that their investments, passive or active, can and should have better-than-average returns. In the passive realm, it comes down to figuring out which manager and strategy can provide the cheapest and most efficient beta exposure with low tracking error to the benchmark.

We know that active strategies display much higher active return dispersion than passive strategies. Some active managers create value relative to passive management and some don’t. Our own research shows something striking: Even in US domestic large-cap equities — probably the most efficient public market in the world — active management produced excess returns a surprisingly high 39% of the time in the 25-year period from 1996 to 2020.


US Large-Cap Domestic Funds Annual Returns vs. the S&P 500, 1996–2020

Source: Capital Group calculations based on Morningstar large-cap US domestic fund universe and Standard & Poor’s index data, 1996‒2020.
Methodology: The database built to represent the universe of large-cap domestic drew from Morningstar’s US Domestic Open-End Large Value, Large Blend, and Large Growth categories, with live and dead funds combined to eliminate survivorship bias. For live funds, only the oldest share class was used. For dead funds with multiple share classes, the median monthly returns were used. Then, we calculate returns on an equal-weight basis.

The question then becomes: Can plan sponsors take advantage of active return and volatility dispersion to identify managers that were more likely to produce sustained results? In recent years, a growing body of literature has identified certain characteristics that were associated with better results for a subset of active managers. These relatively stable characteristics include:

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In our research, we examined the effect on future (ex-ante) returns for active strategies that pass three simple screens:

  1. Lowest-quartile expenses (asset weighted by share class).
  2. Highest quartile of portfolio manager ownership (total assets of company strategies owned by an individual fund’s portfolio managers).
  3. Lowest quartile of downside capture (ratio of strategy return to benchmark return during all market downturns).

Active strategies that pass all three screens offered higher returns and greater downside protection than other active strategies.


Effects of Screening for Lower Fees, Higher PM Ownership, and Lower Downside Capture, 1996‒2020

Source: Capital Group calculations using Morningstar and S&P data, 1996‒2020. Rolling five-year holding periods.
Methodology: The database built to represent the universe of large-cap domestic drew from Morningstar’s US Domestic Open-End Large Value, Large Blend, and Large Growth categories, with live and dead funds combined to eliminate survivorship bias. For live funds, only the oldest share class was used. For dead funds with multiple share classes, the median monthly returns were used. Then, we calculate returns on an equal-weight basis.
For fund grouping, the group of funds with low downside capture was composed of the top 50% of funds with the highest average rank when ranking all funds by returns over all three-year rolling periods during periods of market decline. The fund group with high manager ownership, low fees, and low downside capture was created by, first, screening for low downside capture, followed by the cross section of low quartile expense and highest quartile of firm manager ownership (ranking of firms by amount of assets managers invest in any of the firm’s funds).

This research is suggestive and illustrative rather than definitive. That said, when combined with solid academic evidence on the sources of mutual fund results, including the positive return persistence of a subset of active strategies, it helps us understand that plan sponsors should not base the active-passive decision on average returns alone. Rather, they should look to analytical resources such as those provided by experienced consultants, to screen candidates for both active and passive strategies. For plan sponsors and participants seeking better performance as well as improved downside risk management relative to passive strategies and benchmarks, this approach has been shown to add value.

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Myth II: DC Plans Should Select Strategies with the Lowest Cost

Expenses are no doubt an important consideration and apply to both passive and active strategies. Passive strategies tend to cluster right below their respective benchmarks due to both expenses and tracking error. Expenses for active managers will be higher, but the differential between the lowest-expense active strategies run by large managers who pass on scale advantages to participants, and those of passive managers, may not be very substantial.

That said, expenses should not be the only consideration. Selecting a strategy based only on fees ignores other characteristics. These may include the portfolio’s ability to pursue a desired investment objective, such as accumulation, preservation, income, or a balance among them. For example, a portfolio designed to contribute to a retirement income objective should be evaluated on its ability to produce income while providing downside protection.

Lower fees can contribute to better returns, but as the previous section shows, they should be balanced with other characteristics important to achieving an appropriate mix of return and risk for such an objective. Through securities analysis and portfolio construction with respect to market cycles, geography, dividends, duration, and other elements, active management can be used to design a strategic objective for an equity or fixed-income strategy that aligns with participants’ investment objectives.

Investment objectives can vary, but the investment horizon for a DC plan participant mirrors a working life followed by retirement years and is inherently long term. To deliver on those long-term outcomes, the investment offering needs to evolve along with life stages. The investment committee needs to take this into account when assessing the investment lineup and any manager in that lineup.

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Myth III: A. Passive Management Is “Safer” from a Fiduciary Perspective; B. Active Management Requires Far More Due Diligence and Effort to Select and Monitor

Whether retained or delegated, exercising fiduciary responsibility is fundamental to plan sponsorship. This has been underscored by the spate of litigation focusing on expenses and self-dealing. Some have inaccurately pointed to passive management having a lower potential for litigation. However, no regulatory safe harbor exists regarding passive versus active management and to our knowledge, no court has ruled that active strategies are inherently less appropriate for 401(k) plans than passive strategies.

Instead, it is our understanding that:

  • Much of the recent 401(k) plan litigation has been about paying excessive fees for an investment fund when a less expensive alternative was available for the same investment strategy (i.e., less expensive share class). This type of claim could be made regardless of whether the strategy used is active or passive.
  • Plan fiduciaries may reasonably conclude that an actively managed strategy has the potential to deliver better investment results on a net-of-fees basis than a passively managed strategy, including that the former could provide a measure of downside protection relative to a benchmark.1

In addition, an active structure is not inherently more challenging for fiduciaries to evaluate. Plan sponsors recognize that passive strategies also require numerous “active” decisions and comparable due diligence regarding benchmark and share class selection and fees, as well as knowledge and oversight of replication methodology, trading, and securities lending practices, to name a few. For fixed income strategies, there is an even smaller gap between passive and active strategies in terms of decision-making: few passive fixed income portfolios can efficiently own all the securities in their respective benchmarks and must actively replicate rather than duplicate the benchmarks, including determining which securities to own and when to trade them. And, as is the case with active management, fiduciaries are responsible for monitoring passive management results, including the ability to contribute to plan and participant investment objectives.

It should be noted that many defined contribution plans have experience with evaluating active strategies, including access to analytical tools and talented experts. In short, both passive and active strategies require due diligence to identify and balance costs versus investment objectives and results.

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Conclusion

The three myths of active versus passive management tell us that the dichotomy is a false one. There are ways to identify active managers that have produced better-than-average results over time. Actively managed strategies can assist plan sponsors and participants in achieving investment objectives that a purely benchmark-centric approach may not be able to provide.

Finally, oversight and plan management for active strategies is not fundamentally different than for passive strategies. All require the exercise of fiduciary responsibility, including a clear decision-making process and careful monitoring. Building a retirement plan entirely with passive strategies may be an overly simplistic response and, carried to an extreme, could even backfire from a fiduciary perspective. We see a place in defined contribution plans for both active and passive options working together to improve participant outcomes.

References

29 C.F.R. § 2550.408c-2(b)(1)

Braden v. Wal-Mart Stores Inc., 590 F. Supp. 2d 1159, 1164 (W.D. Mo. 2008) vacated and remanded, 588 F.3d 585 (8th Cir. 2009).

ERISA §408c-2(b)(1). Employee Retirement Income Security Act of 1974.

Footnotes

1. Fees have to be considered in light of the “particular facts and circumstances of each case.” Quoted from 29 C.F.R. § 408c-2(b)(1). See also Laboy v. Bd. of Trustees of Bldg. Serv., 2012 WL 3191961, at *2 (S.D.N.Y. Aug. 7, 2012) and Taylor v. United Techs. Corp., 2009 WL 535779, at *10 (noting that the “selection process [for actively managed mutual funds] included appropriate consideration of the fees charged on the mutual fund options, and of the returns of each mutual fund net of its management expenses”).

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All posts are the opinion of the author. As such, they should not be construed as investment advice, nor do the opinions expressed necessarily reflect the views of CFA Institute or the author’s employer.

Image credit: ©Getty Images / Teresa Otto

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About the Author(s)
Ralph Haberli

Ralph Haberli is president of the Institutional Retirement Client Group at Capital Group. He has 20 years of industry experience and has been with Capital Group for four years. Earlier in his career at Capital, Haberli was a sales director. Prior to joining Capital, he was head of distribution for Defined Contribution at BlackRock. He holds an MBA in finance and accounting from the Kellogg School of Management and a bachelor's degree in history from Yale University.

P. Brett Hammond, PhD

P. Brett Hammond, PhD, is a research leader, client analytics at Capital Group, home of American Funds. He has 26 years of industry experience and has been with Capital Group for five years. Prior to joining Capital, Hammond directed applied indexing and modeling research teams at MSCI and held a number of positions at TIAA-CREF, where, as chief investment strategist, he worked on the creation of target date funds and inflation-linked bond products. He has published more than 30 articles and books on investing. He holds a PhD from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and a bachelor's degree in economics and political science from the University of California, Santa Cruz.

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