Practical analysis for investment professionals

risk


Top Five Articles from October: Thaler, Trillion-Dollar Coins, Volatility

An unorthodox solution to the US retirement crisis from Sloane Ortel; a discussion of Nobel laureate Richard H. Thaler's contributions to economics by Lauren Foster; and an analysis of the value of self-awareness by Jim Ware, CFA, are among the top EI posts from October.

When Does Volatility Equal Risk?

The right question isn't whether volatility equals risk, says Gary Mishuris, CFA. Rather, the right question to ask is: When does volatility equal risk?

The Active Equity Renaissance: New Frontiers of Risk

One modern portfolio theory (MPT) pillar that is unquestionably broken is the use of volatility, specifically standard deviation, as a measure of risk, Jason Voss, CFA, and C. Thomas Howard write in the latest edition of The Active Equity Renaissance series. This initial error in MPT's development is a major contributor to active investment management underperformance.

Book Review: Risk

Risk: Your Global Guide is a slim but valuable guide to risk management and fraud detection. The book’s message is simple: Understand the basic principles of finance, reduce unintended risk, and obtain a level of reward commensurate with the level of risk that you assume. This high-level perspective allows the reader to see the big picture and understand how fraud at the highest levels of finance and government affects ordinary citizens.

Selecting Small- and Mid-Cap International Value Equities

Jonathan Moog, CFA, and the Lizard Investors team concentrate on the international small- to mid-cap space because they believe there are inefficiencies in that market.

Systemic Risk: Definition and Application

Even the most cursory study reveals that systemic risk means different things to different people, so Ron Rimkus, CFA, worked to create a definition that potentially everyone could agree on.

Edward Altman: The Benign Credit Cycle Is in Extra Innings

Edward Altman says the benign credit cycle is in “extra innings,” but the metaphorical relief pitchers — central bankers — are running out of gas. Though most indicators point towards the end of the benign cycle, Altman cannot predict when the stress cycle will begin.

Book Review: The Econometrics of Individual Risk

In this reissued book, the authors explore credit risk from four distinct quantitative perspectives — the occurrence, frequency, timing, and severity of a loss — and focus on the core econometric techniques for measuring each aspect. Given the industry failings associated with the recent global financial crisis, it is more important than ever for financial analysts to understand the mechanics of quantitative risk tools.

Book Review: Enterprise Risk Management in Finance

Providing a general overview of salient topics in risk management, this book is best suited to the experienced risk manager, who can turn to it for technical guidance and a good, succinct refresher on select topics. The beginner would do well to stick with the book’s qualitative discussions, which can serve as useful points of departure for further study.

Aswath Damodaran on How to Invest Internationally

Aswath Damodaran believes investors make two common valuation errors when it comes to country risk exposure: They focus on countries instead of companies and obsess over past mistakes.