Practical analysis for investment professionals

GDP


The Weakening US Consumer

The United States is a consumption-driven economy. But over the last half century, the US consumer has been weakening in the face of social and economic pressures.

Myth-Busting: The Economy Drives the Stock Market

How much does the state of the economy really matter to stock market performance?

Beware the Bubble? The US Stock Market Cap-to-GDP Ratio

The Buffett Indicator is flashing red and has been for a while now.

Republicans or Democrats: Who Is Better for the Economy?

Should we ignore claims that one party or another is better for markets?

Don’t Panic! Coronavirus, GDP, and Unemployment

This is no ordinary recession or depression, and it cannot be measured by ordinary means.

We Are All Doomed — CBO

The US Congressional Budget Office (CBO) recently published its annual Budget and Economic Outlook, a must-read for anyone interested in where the US economy is heading.

Book Review: The Power of a Single Number

Gross domestic product has become the comparative benchmark for the wealth and growth rates of nations. The author provides a concise history of GDP, which offers fertile ground for the consideration of future changes to its use and to the use of other inputs in the valuation of stocks and stock markets.

US Economy: Swimming with the Tide?

Warren Buffett once said, “You only find out who is swimming naked when the tide goes out.” Could the tide be receding for the US economy? Ron Rimkus, CFA, explores the question.

Weekend Reads: The “How To” Edition

This latest edition of Weekend Reads explores the joy of making lists, and provides a selection of how-to guides on measuring prosperity, investing internationally, killing an idea, being an impostor, and much more.



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