Practical analysis for investment professionals
16 May 2012

Michael Pettis on China: “The Growth Rate in Investment Is Going to Collapse”

Posted In: Economics

“What the world desperately needs is demand,” asserted Michael Pettis, professor of finance at the Guanghua School of Management at Peking University, in the closing session at last week’s 65th CFA Institute Annual Conference in Chicago.

With the United States likely to increase its savings rate and the euro in turmoil, he expects Spain to default and leave the eurozone soon. So who will be buying goods in the global marketplace? China has net negative demand, he noted, and will not be the solution to the world’s demand problem. China’s growth has been fueled by government investment, and even in the best-case scenario, he said, “the growth rate in investment is going to collapse.”

Read more on the Annual Conference blog →


About the Author(s)
Rebecca Fender, CFA

Rebecca Fender, CFA, is head of the Future of Finance initiative at CFA Institute, a long-term global effort to shape a trustworthy, forward-thinking investment profession that better serves society. Prior to joining CFA Institute, Ms. Fender was a vice president at BlackRock working with pension funds and endowments, and she also worked at Cambridge Associates, where she published research about manager selection. She earned her undergraduate degree in economics from Princeton University and holds an MBA from the Darden School at the University of Virginia. Future of Finance publications include From Trust to Loyalty: A Global Survey of What Investors Want, and Gender Diversity in Investment Management: New Research for Practitioners to Close the Gender Gap. Previously, Ms. Fender also served as the director of the flagship CFA Institute Annual Conference.

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