Enterprising Investor
Practical analysis for investment professionals
11 March 2026

Investment Behavior Is a Design Problem, Not an Information Problem

For decades, the dominant explanation for low investment participation and suboptimal portfolio choices has been a lack of information. Investors, we are told, do not invest well because they do not understand risk, returns, or financial products. The implied solution is therefore to provide more education, clearer disclosures, and better data.

Yet despite significant investments in financial literacy programs, improved transparency, and broader access to markets, many of the same behavioral patterns persist. Investors remain overly conservative in their asset allocation, exit markets during periods of volatility, delay participation despite rising income, and display deep mistrust of financial institutions.

These outcomes are observed not only among retail investors, but also among highly educated and financially sophisticated individuals. The consequences are measurable: investors hold excess cash during expansions, sell into drawdowns, and systematically erode long-term returns.

This begs the question for all investment professionals serving retail investors: What if information, while necessary, is not sufficient to change behavior?

Why Information Isn’t Enough

Traditional financial theory assumes that once individuals are properly informed, they will act in a manner consistent with rational optimization. In practice, however, investment decisions are rarely made in neutral or controlled environments. They are made under uncertainty, emotional stress, social influence, and time pressure.

When markets decline sharply, investors do not calmly reassess expected returns and correlations; they experience fear. When volatility rises, risk is not processed as a statistical distribution but as a psychological threat. In such contexts, additional information often fails to improve decision-making and can, in some cases, aggravate anxiety and inaction.

Empirical evidence from behavioral finance supports this observation. Individuals are loss averse, overweight recent experiences, discount future outcomes, and rely on heuristics when faced with complexity. These tendencies persist even among financially literate investors. Firms that ignore this reality will continue to attribute client outcomes to behavior rather than to the systems that shape it.

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Behavior Follows Design

One of the most robust insights from behavioral research is that behavior responds strongly to context. Defaults, framing, choice architecture, and institutional signals all influence decisions often more powerfully than information itself.

For example, participation rates in retirement plans vary dramatically depending on whether enrollment is opt-in or opt-out, even when contribution options and disclosures are identical. Similarly, investors’ willingness to hold risky assets is affected by how performance information is presented, the frequency of feedback, and the perceived behavior of peers.

These findings suggest that investment outcomes are shaped not only by what investors know, but by how investment systems are designed. Decisions are embedded in environments that either amplify or dampen behavioral biases.

Despite this, many financial systems continue to assume high levels of self-control, foresight, and emotional resilience from participants. Products are designed with an implicit expectation of discipline. Advice frameworks assume follow-through. Regulation often assumes compliance once rules are clearly communicated. When outcomes fall short, the response is frequently to intensify education efforts rather than to reconsider the underlying design assumptions.

From Education to Design

Recognizing the limits of information does not diminish the role of investment professionals. It reframes it. The question shifts from “How much more can we explain?” to “How well are decisions being designed?”

This reframing has important implications across the investment ecosystem: For asset managers, product success should not be evaluated solely on performance metrics. The behavioral journey of the investor such as how they enter, stay invested, and react to volatility is equally important.

Products that are theoretically optimal but behaviorally fragile are unlikely to deliver intended outcomes at scale. For financial advisors, effectiveness depends not only on the quality of recommendations, but on when and how advice is delivered. Timing, framing, and emotional context shape whether advice is acted upon, particularly during periods of market stress. For policymakers and regulators, participation, trust, and inclusion are not primarily communication challenges. They are institutional design challenges. Rules and safeguards influence behavior not only through enforcement, but through the signals they send about trust, stability, and fairness.

Designing for Real Investors

A design-oriented approach to investment behavior does not reject rationality; it recognizes its limits. It acknowledges that humans operate with bounded rationality and predictable biases, and that systems should be built accordingly. This means asking different questions:

  • Where can defaults support long-term behavior rather than short-term impulses?
  • How can choice sets be simplified without reducing meaningful options?
  • What forms of friction are helpful, and which are harmful?
  • How do institutional rules affect trust and perceived legitimacy, especially in emerging markets?
  • How do we reframe financial education as support, not a solution?

These are not theoretical concerns. They are practical design questions with direct implications for asset allocation, market participation, and financial stability.

Conclusion

The persistent gap between investment knowledge and investment behavior suggests that the problem is not simply one of education. Information matters, but it operates within environments that shape decisions. If investment outcomes consistently fall short of intent, the critical question is not why investors fail to act rationally. It is whether the products, advice frameworks, and institutional rules they encounter are designed for real human behavior. Improving investment outcomes, therefore, requires a shift in focus from explaining more to designing better.

From assuming rational agents to working with predictable behavior. From treating behavior as noise to recognizing it as a central feature of financial decision-making. This shift is not optional. It is increasingly essential for investment professionals seeking durable outcomes in an uncertain world.

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All posts are the opinion of the author. As such, they should not be construed as investment advice, nor do the opinions expressed necessarily reflect the views of CFA Institute or the author’s employer.

Image credit: ©Getty Images / Ascent / PKS Media Inc.


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About the Author(s)
Odiri Oginni, CFA, DBA

Odiri Oginni, CFA, DBA, is the CEO of United Capital Asset Management, a leading investment firm in Nigeria with more than ₦1 trillion in assets under management. She assumed the role in January 2019 and brings more than 19 years of experience in investment management and financial advisory. Before her appointment as CEO, Oginni served as group chief financial officer of United Capital Plc, one of Nigeria’s foremost financial services groups. She also previously held the role of CFO at UBA Global Markets, the investment banking arm of United Bank for Africa Plc. Oginni currently serves as vice president of the CFA Society Nigeria and previously chaired the Society’s Employer Relations Committee. She is a member of the Equity Portfolio Advisory Committee for the Nigerian Exchange Group (NGX) and serves on the Executive and Governing Council of the Lagos Business School Alumni Association. She is also a member of the Forbes Finance Council, where she frequently publishes on topics related to investor behavior and women’s investment decision-making. She holds a first-class degree in Accounting from Babcock University and an MBA from Strayer University. She is a CFA charterholder and a fellow of the Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria (FCA). Oginni earned her Doctorate in Business Administration from Lagos Business School.

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