Sebastian Petric, CFA, is an investment professional with LGT and worked previously as a capital market researcher with Raiffeisen Bank International and as a director in the investment office of UBS. He was educated at the Vienna University of Economics and Business, the London School of Economics, and the University of Oxford. Petric has a strong interest in asset pricing, development finance, inclusive globalization, and sustainable economic growth and recently published his book, entitled Predictability of Financial Crises: The Impact of Fundamental, Policy-induced and Institutional Vulnerabilities on China Compared to other Emerging Markets.
By minimizing exposure to severe market downturns, investors can achieve higher risk-adjusted returns, preserve capital, and avoid the psychological toll of significant losses.
By fostering resilience through the consideration of various outcomes, investment practitioners can better anticipate and manage the complexities and disruptions that characterize today's dynamic environment.
The theories and models introduced by Robert Shiller and Didier Sornette are as applicable to the foreign exchange market as they are to the stock market.
Despite some current limitations, AI stands to offer significant advantages versus traditional approaches to identifying and predicting financial crises.
Machine learning can inform financial crisis modeling.
"Discount rates vary a lot more than we thought. Most of the puzzles and anomalies that we face amount to discount-rate variation we do not understand."
The end of the loose money era may offer an opportunity for tactical asset allocation.
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