Practical analysis for investment professionals

debt


The Weakening US Consumer

The United States is a consumption-driven economy. But over the last half century, the US consumer has been weakening in the face of social and economic pressures.

Book Review: The Paradox of Debt

Dick Cheney said that “Reagan proved that deficits don’t matter.” Richard Vague suspects that Cheney may well have been right.

Stressed and Distressed Credit: Risk and Reward

As Warren Buffett said, “You only find out who is swimming naked when the tide goes out.” Well, the tide is going out and as businesses refinance at higher rates, default rates and distressed exchanges are likely to increase.

What If the US Government Were Valued Like a Company?

If the US government were a normal company, it would have had to declare bankruptcy long ago.

Turkey: The Trouble with Debt-Driven Growth

Turkey's economic travails provide a cautionary tale for other developing nations.

Capitalism Is Dead, Long Live Debtism

Should a loan that one neither intends nor is required to repay be considered debt or equity?

Debt and Inflation Fears: Investing’s Obsolete Dogmas?

In economics and investing, some concepts have become indistinguishable from articles of faith.

Book Review: Principles for Navigating Big Debt Crises

Ray Dalio provides investors with a framework to understand the possible economic scenarios that lie ahead, as well as the investment implications.

Edward Altman: Where Are We in the Credit Cycle?*

Has the bubble in credit markets achieved new momentum? Edward Altman weighs in.

Adam Tooze: Where Are We Post-Global Financial Crisis?

“What we learned from 2008 was that it’s not the size of the losses per se, but rather where the losses sit in the financial system,” says Adam Tooze.



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