One modern portfolio theory (MPT) pillar that is unquestionably broken is the use of volatility, specifically standard deviation, as a measure of risk, Jason Voss, CFA, and C. Thomas Howard write in the latest edition of The Active Equity Renaissance series. This initial error in MPT's development is a major contributor to active investment management underperformance.
With a combined market capitalization of $10 trillion, the Shenzhen and Shanghai stock exchanges are the second largest in the world, writes Tony Tan, DBA, CFA, and recent research demonstrates that, contrary to popular perception, they don't move in lockstep or mostly in response to macro factors. Investors searching for alpha cannot ignore them.
The common assumption is that lower tax rates should increase corporate profits, share prices, investment, and consumption, and thus lift the entire economy. Unfortunately, this is not quite how it happens in the real world.
The irresistible demand of public opinion has forced universal male suffrage, women’s suffrage, prohibition (and its repeal), civil rights, and anti-tobacco laws. Sugar may be the next big crusade. Investors should keep this in mind when looking at food companies and pharmaceuticals.
“I know you are afraid and you should be afraid. I will invest you in products that will not stir up your fears." This sentiment is applied over and over again in the investment industry in one form or another, by the "Cult of Emotion."
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