After analyzing small-cap biotech data from 2007 on, Akash Goyal has found that higher hedge fund ownership is positively correlated with forward returns and that stocks with higher short interest are correlated with negative forward returns.
Passive investing in India, us vs. them behavioral traps, and the dangers of market timing are among the topics covered in the latest Weekend Reads from India, curated by Shreenivas Kunte, CFA.
One modern portfolio theory (MPT) pillar that is unquestionably broken is the use of volatility, specifically standard deviation, as a measure of risk, Jason Voss, CFA, and C. Thomas Howard write in the latest edition of The Active Equity Renaissance series. This initial error in MPT's development is a major contributor to active investment management underperformance.
With a combined market capitalization of $10 trillion, the Shenzhen and Shanghai stock exchanges are the second largest in the world, writes Tony Tan, DBA, CFA, and recent research demonstrates that, contrary to popular perception, they don't move in lockstep or mostly in response to macro factors. Investors searching for alpha cannot ignore them.
The common assumption is that lower tax rates should increase corporate profits, share prices, investment, and consumption, and thus lift the entire economy. Unfortunately, this is not quite how it happens in the real world.
The irresistible demand of public opinion has forced universal male suffrage, women’s suffrage, prohibition (and its repeal), civil rights, and anti-tobacco laws. Sugar may be the next big crusade. Investors should keep this in mind when looking at food companies and pharmaceuticals.
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