Post-financial crisis, the volume of outstanding bonds has grown. At the same time, however, consolidation among banks and broker/dealers has cut the number of market makers, and new regulations have reduced the capital these companies can commit to fixed-income inventories.
Investors and advisers need to broaden and deepen their levels of analysis to get a better handle on liquidity risks. They may be drawn to the apparent certainty of putting funds into a small number of boxes, buckets, or categories, but this may prove to be a false comfort.
Jason Voss, CFA, shares his choices for the best stories for investors in 2015. These range from central bank influence on the economy, changes afoot in China, the preeminence of demographics in explaining future economic states, the current state of finance, and even news in quantum physics!
Leading posts from November include the latest installment in the Dumb Alpha series by Joachim Klement, CFA; a Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) reading list compiled by Larry Cao, CFA; and an analysis by Jason Voss, CFA, of the potential for a flash crash caused by the confluence of quantitative easing (QE), currency market structure, and other factors.
In our job as professional investors for others as well as personal stewards for ourselves and our families, we try to do something today that will have a future beneficial result. This is easier said than done. To accomplish our goals we need to answer two basic questions: What Are We Doing? Which Future?
In another perfectly normal week, the Fed decided to end its QE program and BOJ to expand their version of QE. Who is right and who is wrong? And why? We combed through the web to find some answers for you.
Nobel laureate Robert Engle discusses the development of the ARCH model, the global financial crisis, systemic risk, and forecasting liquidity with ARCH models.
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