Practical analysis for investment professionals

stocks


Do Valuation Shorts Work?

Valuation shorts have a bad reputation on Wall Street. But do they work? Alon Bochman, CFA, tested this question using a new research service.

Reality Check: What Is India’s New Budget Telling Investors?

Earlier this month, newly elected Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi's administration delivered its first budget. This bears serious attention as the budget is a good indication of the government’s focus and prioritization over the remainder of fiscal 2014 and the entire fiscal 2015.

Investing in China May Just Get Easier

Investors frustrated about not getting access to local shares in China can now relax. Things are about to change for the better.

Weekend Reads for Investors: Five Years and Counting

In a recent speech, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas president Richard Fisher aptly remarked, “Stock market metrics such as price to projected forward earnings, price-to-sales ratios and market capitalization as a percentage of GDP are at eye-popping levels not seen since the dot-com boom of the late 1990s.”

Weekend Reads for Investors: The Super Bowl Indicator

This weekend approximately half of US households will be watching the Denver Broncos and Seattle Seahawks compete in the 48th edition of the National Football League’s Super Bowl. It is typically a time when stock market observers cast seriousness aside and consider what the game’s outcome will mean for equity prices by examining the Super Bowl Indicator. First proposed in 1978, this theory holds that stocks will rise in the coming year if an original NFL franchise wins, but will fall if an old AFL team wins.

Current Investment Traps

In our arena of investments a trap is a concept/thought that leads us to significant losses of capital, or worse, opportunities to make sound productive investments.

Historical Perspective: How Today’s US Stock Market Stacks Up against Past Bull Markets

As the bull market for US stocks approaches its fifth anniversary, we are starting to see signs typically associated with the latter stages of a multi-year advance in equities. Bearish sentiment, widely seen as a contrarian indicator, has dropped to levels not seen in a generation, retail investors are returning to stocks, and the IPO market has been surging. As further evidence, in the name of innovation, Wall Street is once again rolling out risky products that are almost certain to disappoint the unwitting buyer.

Stocks, Bonds, and the Fed’s Taper Talk

Consensus wisdom seems to be that rising interest rates are bad for stock prices.

Detecting Earnings Manipulation and Fraud: A Light Tutorial on Probit Analysis

Lies, damned lies, and earnings management. If 20% of firms misrepresent economic reality through earnings management, analysts and portfolio managers must protect themselves by knowing how, why, and when individuals lie. Quantitative methods with forensic formulas, such as the Beneish model, offer part of the necessary skills to distinguish earnings manipulation from earnings management.

Poll: What Poses the Greatest Threat to Global Equity Markets?

As most global stock markets have been on a tear of late, we thought it would be timely to ask readers what posed the greatest threat to equity markets. Over 37% of the 974 respondents to this poll believe that a global economic slowdown is the greatest risk to stocks.



By continuing to use the site, you agree to the use of cookies. more information

The cookie settings on this website are set to "allow cookies" to give you the best browsing experience possible. If you continue to use this website without changing your cookie settings or you click "Accept" below then you are consenting to this.

Close