Sir Paul Tucker is not shy about making an audience feel uncomfortable, Mark Harrison, CFA, observes. In fact, the crowd was rather ill at ease during Tucker's presentation at the 70th CFA Institute Annual Conference, and not just because the topic was systemic risk.
Markets are usually not systemic. Instead, from the bird’s-eye perspective of "Capitalism," many businesses are "opportunities" in the same way that it feels good to hit yourself in the head with a hammer: It's much better once you stop.
With so much talk of systemic risk in recent years, there is surprisingly little consensus on what systemic risk actually is. So what is systemic risk? And how big a threat does it pose to markets today?
All the recent market scares have been driven by the same implied menace. Whether it’s another round of anxiety about Greece, another head fake by the US Federal Reserve on raising rates, or fears about China’s economy, investors appear to be nervous about a major correction, downturn, or crash. But what if the real danger were of a very different sort?
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