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History & Geopolitics


From Theory to Trillions: David Booth | Financial Thought Exchange

DFA’s David Booth on building portfolios—and an industry—on data, not dogma.

Currency Coordination Looks Riskier Today

This post examines the potential consequences of coordinated dollar depreciation today -- from FX volatility and insurance risk to broader macroeconomic impacts.

Maladapted Industries: The Risk of Artificial Selection by the State

From Europe’s steelmakers to global EV producers, "pet industries" rely on state support to survive, but as political winds shift, their future looks increasingly fragile.

Think We’ve Seen the Last +1,000-BPS High Yield Spread? Think Again

Think +1,000-bps high yield spreads are history? Marty Fridson shows why they could still hit that mark in the next recession.

Tariffs, Inflation, and Returns: How Investments Respond to Supply Shocks

Learn how tariff-related inflation shocks ripple through markets—and which assets have historically helped investors navigate the turbulence.

Tariffs and Returns: Lessons from 150 Years of Market History

What 150 years of market data reveal about tariffs, growth, and investment returns—and how equity factors have historically delivered resilience.

Vices, Virtues, and a Little Humor: 30 Quotes from Financial History

This collection of quotes from US financial history offers timeless lessons in vice, virtue, and investing wisdom for every generation.

How Tariffs Could Accelerate America’s AI Revolution: Implications for Investors

Discover how new US tariffs could accelerate AI adoption, reshape American industry, and unlock long-term investment opportunities amid economic disruption.

When the Equity Premium Fades, Alpha Shines

As the equity risk premium declines, alpha becomes critical. Discover how investors can adapt through factor strategies and global diversification.

Investing Through Uncertainty: 5 Lessons in Emotional Discipline

In light of the uncertainty dominating today’s markets and headlines, it’s worth revisiting some of the behavioral pitfalls that have tripped up investors for centuries.