Practical analysis for investment professionals

economics


Is the Copper–Gold Ratio a Dependable Leading Indicator on Rates?

Earlier this year, the copper–gold ratio was, in Jeffrey Gundlach's words, “screaming that the 10-year should go lower.”

The Debt Ceiling: A Nation Divided and Indebted Cannot Stand

The current debt ceiling debate reveals a painful reality that the United States must confront.

Can Argentina Recover? Emerging Market Lessons

To be “as rich as an Argentine” was once a common aspiration. What happened?

Top 10 Posts from 2022: Fama and French, Damodaran, the Equity Risk Premium

In a wild year for markets and investing, what EI content most resonated with readers?

The Fed Isn’t Bluffing: The Real Threat of an Upside-Down Depression

Paul Volcker restored the Fed's credibility through suffering. The Fed's leadership knows that it must pursue a similar course today.

Book Review: The Price of Time

Almost unique among serious finance books, Edward Chancellor’s The Price of Time serves well as bedtime reading.

Building a CAPM That Works: What It Means for Today’s Markets

The capital asset pricing model (CAPM) is a marvel of economic scholarship. The problem is that it doesn’t always work in practice. So, we fixed it.

Book Review: The Financial Crisis of 2008

Barrie Wigmore analyzes an extremely complex topic, the financial crisis of 2008, with wide-ranging and deep analysis.

Inflation Trends: What’s the Outlook?

Is inflation broadly distributed or confined to select categories?

What If the US Government Were Valued Like a Company?

If the US government were a normal company, it would have had to declare bankruptcy long ago.



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