Monetary Policy
Investors betting on a near-term plunge in interest rates may be mistaking political theater for monetary policy reality. President Donald Trump’s renewed pressure on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has stirred speculation in the bond and futures… READ MORE ›
This post explores the intricacies of the equity risk premium, scrutinizes traditional valuation models, and introduces an updated framework to guide strategic decision-making in today’s volatile environment.
Bankruptcy filings are surging. As we brace for what lies ahead, it's essential to recognize the potential for a repeat of past crises and prepare accordingly.
Rapid yen appreciation in the third quarter triggered a brief-but-disruptive volatility surge across major asset markets, demonstrating the fleeting nature of "liquidity-on-loan."
Banks and other traditional capital providers are no longer the primary source of capital for the economy. This shift has increased the diversity of capital providers but also has fragmented the capital markets.
We are three months away from the longest yield curve inversion-to-recession period. Will Cam Harvey's famous recession indicator hold? Highlights from EI podcast.
The relationship between stocks and interest rates is not reliably stable. There are periods when equities are highly rate sensitive, and periods when they aren't.
With Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's semiannual address to the Senate Banking Committee this week fresh in mind, it is an ideal time to consider the drivers of r*.
An analysis of the Fed's recent rounds of quantitative tightening (QT) and quantitative easing (QE) yields actionable insights about the relationship between monetary policy and financial conditions.
The yield curve is inverted, implying an imminent recession, but the stock market is at or near record highs. What can we make of these contradictory signals?