We are three months away from the longest yield curve inversion-to-recession period. Will Cam Harvey's famous recession indicator hold? Highlights from EI podcast.
The yield curve is inverted, implying an imminent recession, but the stock market is at or near record highs. What can we make of these contradictory signals?
Paul Volcker restored the Fed's credibility through suffering. The Fed's leadership knows that it must pursue a similar course today.
We may not have seen the end of boom and bust, but the world’s leading economies do appear to have become more stable in recent decades, Dr. David Kelly, CFA, writes.
In January, 70% of CFA Institute Financial NewsBrief readers didn't expect a US recession in 2016. So what about 2017?
It was a holiday-shortened week last week, so there weren't a lot of companies talking. It is annual report season though, so a lot of this week's quotes come from shareholder letters. Commentary continues to be positive. Optimism has rebounded with the markets.