Practical analysis for investment professionals

valuation


Non-GAAP Business Performance Measures: An Investor Perspective

Non-GAAP company performance measures are growing in prominence. Is this a good thing for investors who rely so strongly on accounting numbers for evaluating performance and valuing businesses? A recent CFA Institute webinar explored the issue.

Over-Rated: Do Fund Asset Classifications Tell the Whole Liquidity Story?

Investors and advisers need to broaden and deepen their levels of analysis to get a better handle on liquidity risks. They may be drawn to the apparent certainty of putting funds into a small number of boxes, buckets, or categories, but this may prove to be a false comfort.

Weekend Reads for Investors: Montier, Musk, and Mauboussin

Central bankers in the US have long fixated on the equilibrium real interest rate (ERIR) as their lodestar, an obsession that GMO’s James Montier, in The Idolatry of Interest Rates, bemoans as “a massive exercise in navel gazing.” According to Montier, the broad acceptance of the theoretically dubious ERIR — the real interest rate consistent with full employment of labor and capital resources—is not an example of the wisdom of crowds, but rather “groupthink extraordinaire.” Further, investors’ collective preoccupation with interest rates as an economic “cure-all” and their “deification of central bankers” are equally misguided, says Montier.

The Global Instability Premium

The ongoing shifts in US and global equity valuations are something worth watching until the world calms down, because global military tensions could easily get much worse than they currently are. If and when this occurs, global equities could become compellingly cheaper in short order, presenting a potential strategic opportunity, at least if you believe in the global instability premium.

Aswath Damodaran: Reliable Investment Valuations Balance Numbers and Narratives

When it comes to valuing stocks, the most reliable valuations come from imaginative number crunchers and disciplined storytellers, says Aswath Damodaran. And too often pure “numbers” people drift off into what he calls “spreadsheet nirvana.” Similarly, investors who focus purely on the narrative of a potential investment run the risk of quickly “veering from reality to fantasy.” Damodaran urged investment managers to bridge the gap between numbers and narratives, insisting that the best valuations are not just “a collection of numbers, but a story connected to numbers.”

In Praise of Risk Aversion

“And the seasons they go ’round and ’round
And the painted ponies go up and down
We’re captive on the carousel of time”
— Joni Mitchell The Circle Game
The hardest day to invest is always the current one. Despite this truth,… READ MORE ›

Aswath Damodaran: Valuation in the Face of Uncertainty

The NYU professor applies a common-sense, mathematical approach to challenge general “rules of thumb” of valuation while still using accepted methodologies, such as the discounted cash flow model.

Equity Investing: When is it Time to Sell?

Timing the sale of a security is arguably the most important aspect of any successful investment strategy, and the only true, unbiased indicator of where a security should be trading is information itself. That said, there is still value in using price targets.

Should You Invest in Housing Right Now? First, Learn How to Value It

Robert Stammers, CFA, discusses why you should learn to value housing before you decide to invest in it.

Damodaran’s 10 Rules for Addressing Uncertainty in Investment Valuations

Human bias, complexity, and uncertainty are amongst the biggest obstacles investors face when it comes to investment valuation, and Aswath Damodaran recently offered some practical guidance on responding to the uncertainties commonly faced when deriving the intrinsic value of a stock.



By continuing to use the site, you agree to the use of cookies. more information

The cookie settings on this website are set to "allow cookies" to give you the best browsing experience possible. If you continue to use this website without changing your cookie settings or you click "Accept" below then you are consenting to this.

Close