Practical analysis for investment professionals
20 October 2016

The Fintech Effect: What Will Bring the Most Change?

Fintech has increasingly captured the attention of the financial services industry over the past several years.

Since I started writing on the topic about a year ago, the discussion has evolved from simply defining fintech to more involved narratives about its potential drawbacks.

In that time, our focus on the subject has never wavered. Why? Because fintech will have a significant and potentially revolutionary influence on a broad set of sectors within the financial services industry and across the globe.

Finance professionals have two basic questions about fintech and what it means for them:

  • How will fintech positively affect their careers? The thought is that fintech will bring about efficiency gains that benefit those who embrace the innovations first — the early adopters. What aspects of fintech will drive much of these improvements? The consensus is that big data and cyber security will be among the major catalysts.
  • How will fintech negatively affect their careers? For example, will peer-to-peer (P2P) lenders replace banks as the preferred platform or intermediary for borrowing and lending? If the answer is yes, then bank loan officers and credit risk analysts should start looking for alternative careers. The particular areas of fintech that evoke this sort of existential concern include blockchain, mobile payment, P2P lending, and robo-advisers.

Though the above distinctions are somewhat arbitrary, as we see it, the potential for disruption is far greater in the latter categories — blockchain, mobile payments, etc. — than in the former.

Is this assessment accurate? To find out, we asked CFA Institute Financial NewsBrief readers what aspect of fintech they believe has the potential to most transform the finance sector as we know it.

In which of the following areas do you think financial technology (fintech) will bring about the most significant changes to the financial services industry?

In which of the following areas do you think financial technology (fintech) will bring about the most significant changes to the financial services industry?

* Results do not add up to 100% due to rounding.

The responses of our 333 poll participants suggest that interest in blockchain technology has risen to an all-time high, with four out of 10 readers opting for that choice. Another 22% are believers in robo-advisers. Compared to a CFA Institute fintech survey conducted earlier in the year, these results suggest that blockchain technology has leapfrogged robo-advisers when it comes to the finance industry’s perception of its potential influence as an agent of change in the years ahead.

The third most-popular option in the CFA Institute Financial NewsBrief poll was mobile payment — propelled by dramatic successes in China and other parts of the world — with 19% of the vote.

Survey respondents found P2P and crowdfunding to be less glamorous trades, earning 8% and 7%, respectively. Given the variety of scandals in China’s P2P space and Lending Club’s lackluster US performance, these results are not especially surprising.

For more in-depth analysis on the fintech phenomenon, stay tuned for the Fintech Files series, which will drill down into each of the five potential areas of disruption. The series is based on conversations I have had with various fintech industry luminaries over the past few months, among them consultants and venture capital investors with fintech expertise, executives who lead technology and related businesses at financial institutions, big tech executives, and fintech start-up CEOs.

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All posts are the opinion of the author. As such, they should not be construed as investment advice, nor do the opinions expressed necessarily reflect the views of CFA Institute or the author’s employer.

About the Author(s)
Larry Cao, CFA

Larry Cao, CFA, senior director of industry research, CFA Institute, conducts original research with a focus on the investment industry trends and investment expertise. His current research interests include multi-asset strategies and FinTech (including AI, big data, and blockchain). He has led the development of such popular publications as FinTech 2017: China, Asia and Beyond, FinTech 2018: The Asia Pacific Edition, Multi-Asset Strategies: The Future of Investment Management and AI Pioneers in Investment management. He is also a frequent speaker at industry conferences on these topics. During his time in Boston pursuing graduate studies at Harvard and as a visiting scholar at MIT, he also co-authored a research paper with Nobel laureate Franco Modigliani that was published in the Journal of Economic Literature by American Economic Association. Larry has more than 20 years of experience in the investment industry. Prior to joining CFA Institute, Larry worked at HSBC as senior manager for the Asia Pacific region. He started his career at the People’s Bank of China as a USD fixed-income portfolio manager. He also worked for US asset managers Munder Capital Management, managing US and international equity portfolios, and Morningstar/Ibbotson Associates, managing multi-asset investment programs for a global financial institution clientele. Larry has been interviewed by a wide range of business media, such as Bloomberg, CNN, the Financial Times, South China Morning Post and the Wall Street Journal.

4 thoughts on “The Fintech Effect: What Will Bring the Most Change?”

  1. Shiv Singh says:

    Nicely written post. This will surely help those people who are into fintech development. Thanks for the valuable information

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